Argentina vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1923 |
ARG
4 - 3
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
URU
0 - 2
ARG
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1923 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1923 |
ARG
2 - 2
URU
44%
23%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1923 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1922 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAR
65%
18%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1922 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1922 |
BRA
2 - 0
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1922 |
BRA
0 - 0
URU
45%
23%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |