Argentina vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1920 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1920 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1920 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1920 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1920 |
ARG
1 - 3
URU
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1920 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
URU
6 - 0
BRA
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
CHI
0 - 1
BRA
34%
24%
42%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 3
ARG
54%
22%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1919 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |