Argentina vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1927 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1927 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
26%
25%
50%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
0 - 2
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
8 - 0
PAR
65%
19%
15%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1926 |
URU
6 - 0
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1926 |
BOL
1 - 6
PAR
56%
21%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
5 - 0
BOL
64%
20%
17%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |