Argentina vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 0
SUI
71%
18%
12%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 3
ARG
13%
19%
69%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 0
IRN
79%
15%
7%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 1
BIH
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 0
SVN
87%
11%
3%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 1
USA
44%
24%
31%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
KOR
0 - 1
BEL
28%
25%
48%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 0
RUS
41%
25%
34%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 1
ALG
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 0
TUN
70%
18%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |