Argentina vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1986 |
ARG
2 - 1
ENG
51%
24%
26%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1986 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1986 |
ARG
2 - 0
BGR
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1986 |
ITA
1 - 1
ARG
59%
21%
20%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1986 |
ARG
3 - 1
KOR
75%
16%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1986 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEL
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
SUN
3 - 4
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1986 |
PAR
2 - 2
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
IRQ
1 - 2
BEL
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 2
MEX
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |