Argentina vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 0
ROU
75%
18%
8%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1982 |
ARG
2 - 1
BGR
80%
15%
5%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 1
SUN
51%
26%
23%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRD
37%
26%
37%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1982 |
ARG
0 - 0
CSK
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1982 |
DEN
1 - 0
BEL
46%
26%
27%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
BEL
2 - 1
BGR
68%
21%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
BEL
4 - 1
ROU
59%
25%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1981 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
62%
24%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
NED
3 - 0
BEL
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |