Argentina vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1990 |
ARG
1 - 1
ITA
45%
30%
26%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1990 |
YUG
0 - 0
ARG
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1990 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1990 |
ARG
1 - 1
ROU
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1990 |
ARG
2 - 0
SUN
40%
29%
32%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1990 |
BRD
1 - 1
ENG
62%
22%
16%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1990 |
CSK
0 - 1
BRD
38%
27%
35%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1990 |
BRD
2 - 1
NED
66%
20%
14%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1990 |
BRD
1 - 1
COL
80%
15%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1990 |
BRD
5 - 1
UAE
82%
13%
5%
|
95 | 65 | 30 | 0 |