Argentina vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1958 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
68%
17%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
20%
22%
58%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
30%
24%
46%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
ARG
4 - 0
BOL
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1958 |
CSK
3 - 2
BRD
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1957 |
NED
1 - 2
BRD
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
SUN
2 - 1
BRD
28%
23%
49%
|
81 | 32 | 49 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1956 |
BRD
1 - 2
NED
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
YUG
3 - 1
BRD
70%
16%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |