Argentina vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 0
HND
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ARG
5 - 0
EST
92%
7%
2%
|
95 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 3
ARG
33%
26%
41%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 1
ARG
20%
24%
55%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 0
VEN
83%
12%
5%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
QAT
1 - 1
JAM
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
JAM
0 - 3
MAR
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
JAM
1 - 1
MEX
7%
20%
73%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
JAM
3 - 1
SUR
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SUR
1 - 1
JAM
14%
21%
66%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |