Argentina vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
GER
0 - 1
ARG
54%
23%
23%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
ARG
2 - 1
JAM
78%
16%
6%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ARG
3 - 2
CRC
71%
19%
10%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 1
ARG
58%
24%
19%
|
97 | 100 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
29%
26%
44%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
MTQ
0 - 0
HTI
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2009 |
MEX
4 - 0
HTI
92%
7%
2%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
USA
2 - 2
HTI
93%
6%
1%
|
72 | 94 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
HTI
2 - 0
GRD
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
HND
1 - 0
HTI
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |