Argentina vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1974 |
POL
3 - 2
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
NED
4 - 1
ARG
43%
27%
31%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1974 |
ENG
2 - 2
ARG
71%
19%
11%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
FRA
0 - 1
ARG
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1974 |
HTI
0 - 7
POL
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1974 |
ITA
3 - 1
HTI
82%
11%
7%
|
70 | 92 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1974 |
HTI
0 - 0
CHI
28%
23%
49%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1974 |
HTI
0 - 1
CHI
30%
23%
47%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
BRA
4 - 0
HTI
92%
6%
2%
|
71 | 93 | 22 | 0 |