Argentina vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 1
ARG
58%
24%
19%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
29%
26%
44%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
77%
17%
7%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
ARG
2 - 0
GHA
76%
17%
7%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
24%
26%
51%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2009 |
URU
1 - 1
CRC
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CRC
0 - 1
URU
25%
23%
52%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
USA
2 - 2
CRC
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CRC
4 - 0
TTO
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
SLV
1 - 0
CRC
24%
25%
50%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |