Algeria vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 0
UAE
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 0
GAM
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 0
ALG
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
ALG
3 - 0
LBR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 0
ALG
66%
22%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
0 - 0
SEN
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
SEN
3 - 1
LBR
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
LBR
2 - 2
SEN
11%
20%
68%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 0
SEN
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 0
ALG
66%
22%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |