Algeria vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
51.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
1 - 0
NGA
57%
27%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
2 - 1
SEN
54%
27%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
2 - 0
EGY
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
3 - 0
CIV
51%
28%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
5 - 1
NGA
55%
27%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
UAE
0 - 2
SWE
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1990 |
BEL
0 - 0
SWE
46%
26%
28%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
UAE
2 - 1
SWE
12%
22%
67%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
POL
0 - 2
SWE
47%
26%
27%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
SWE
3 - 1
ALB
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |