Algeria vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
ALG
3 - 0
NIG
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 2
ALG
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 0
TUN
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALG
2 - 0
CTA
87%
10%
3%
|
78 | 11 | 67 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TAN
1 - 1
ALG
30%
30%
41%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
TUN
5 - 1
RWA
79%
16%
6%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 0
RWA
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RWA
0 - 0
NGA
18%
29%
53%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
2 - 0
ZIM
23%
24%
52%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TAN
0 - 1
RWA
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |