Algeria vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ALG
3 - 0
BFA
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
ALG
1 - 2
SEN
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 1
ALG
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 3
GAB
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
ALG
2 - 2
BFA
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
KEN
1 - 1
RWA
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
TAN
1 - 5
RWA
31%
23%
46%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
ETH
0 - 0
RWA
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2004 |
BDI
3 - 1
RWA
16%
20%
64%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 1
ALG
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |