Algeria vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CMR
2 - 0
ALG
58%
25%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
ALG
0 - 1
ZAM
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ZAM
3 - 1
ALG
35%
30%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
LBY
1 - 1
ALG
29%
28%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 2
LBY
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
NGA
1 - 0
ZAM
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
CMR
1 - 1
NGA
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
NGA
4 - 0
CMR
54%
25%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NGA
2 - 0
BEN
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
NGA
24%
29%
47%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |