Algeria vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
ALG
2 - 2
ZIM
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
ALG
0 - 3
MLI
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
ANG
2 - 1
ALG
46%
28%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
ALG
1 - 0
RWA
70%
18%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ALG
3 - 0
BFA
68%
20%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
LBY
0 - 1
NGA
29%
29%
42%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
NGA
1 - 1
ANG
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
RWA
1 - 1
NGA
11%
23%
67%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
NGA
2 - 0
GAB
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
RSA
2 - 1
NGA
34%
30%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |