Algeria vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
2 - 1
SEN
54%
27%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
2 - 0
EGY
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
3 - 0
CIV
51%
28%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
5 - 1
NGA
55%
27%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
ALG
0 - 0
ROU
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1990 |
NGA
2 - 0
ZAM
46%
30%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1990 |
NGA
1 - 0
CIV
44%
30%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1990 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
35%
30%
34%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
5 - 1
NGA
55%
27%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1988 |
AUS
1 - 0
NGA
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |