Algeria vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
ALG
0 - 0
ROU
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1989 |
SEN
0 - 0
ALG
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
ITA
1 - 0
ALG
82%
14%
4%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1989 |
TUN
0 - 0
ALG
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1989 |
SWE
2 - 0
ALG
73%
20%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1988 |
AUS
1 - 0
NGA
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
NGA
1 - 3
YUG
73%
19%
8%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
BRA
4 - 0
NGA
45%
29%
27%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
CMR
1 - 0
NGA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
NGA
1 - 1
ALG
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |