Algeria vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1984 |
ALG
2 - 0
GHA
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1984 |
ALG
3 - 0
MWI
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1984 |
KSA
4 - 2
ALG
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1984 |
ALG
1 - 1
ROU
34%
30%
36%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1983 |
ALG
1 - 2
SUI
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1984 |
MWI
2 - 2
NGA
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1984 |
NGA
2 - 1
GHA
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
MAR
0 - 0
NGA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
NGA
0 - 0
MLI
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1983 |
TOG
5 - 2
NGA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |