Algeria vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
NGA
0 - 2
ALG
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
NIG
1 - 0
ALG
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1981 |
ALG
4 - 0
NIG
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1981 |
ALG
2 - 0
SEN
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
SDN
1 - 1
ALG
33%
24%
43%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
NGA
0 - 2
ALG
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
NGA
3 - 0
LBY
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
NGA
0 - 1
UGA
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
ISL
3 - 0
NGA
34%
24%
42%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
NOR
2 - 2
NGA
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |