Algeria vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1986 |
SUI
2 - 0
ALG
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1986 |
CMR
3 - 2
ALG
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
ALG
0 - 0
ZAM
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
ALG
0 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1986 |
ALG
4 - 1
MOZ
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
NIR
2 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
NIR
1 - 1
DEN
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1986 |
FRA
0 - 0
NIR
75%
18%
7%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
ENG
0 - 0
NIR
80%
15%
5%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
ROU
0 - 1
NIR
64%
23%
13%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |