Algeria vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 3
ALG
13%
24%
63%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ALG
4 - 0
SYC
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
OMA
1 - 4
ALG
48%
28%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
QAT
1 - 0
ALG
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CIV
3 - 1
ALG
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ZIM
1 - 1
GUI
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GUI
13%
18%
68%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 1
LBR
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
SWZ
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
CHA
84%
11%
4%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | -1 |