Algeria vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2010 |
USA
1 - 0
ALG
90%
8%
2%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2010 |
ENG
0 - 0
ALG
95%
5%
1%
|
77 | 97 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
ALG
0 - 1
SVN
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
ALG
1 - 0
UAE
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
IRL
3 - 0
ALG
72%
20%
8%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2010 |
GAB
3 - 0
TOG
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
1 - 2
ZAM
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
0 - 0
TUN
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
CMR
0 - 1
GAB
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
2 - 0
MOZ
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |