Algeria vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.5%
80.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
18.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1973 |
ALG
2 - 1
TUN
61%
20%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
TUR
4 - 0
ALG
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 1973 |
GHA
2 - 0
ALG
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1973 |
NGA
2 - 2
ALG
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1973 |
ALG
4 - 2
TAN
69%
17%
15%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1973 |
BRA
5 - 0
BOL
94%
5%
1%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1972 |
IRN
1 - 0
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
HUN
2 - 2
BRA
58%
20%
22%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
DEN
3 - 2
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 1972 |
BRA
1 - 0
POR
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |