Algeria vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
UGA
0 - 1
ALG
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ALG
4 - 1
CHA
90%
8%
2%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
ALG
1 - 1
UGA
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
NAM
0 - 1
ALG
21%
27%
53%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2002 |
ALG
1 - 1
COD
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
EST
0 - 1
BEL
16%
22%
62%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
AND
0 - 1
BEL
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 2
BGR
64%
22%
14%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
POL
1 - 1
BEL
34%
26%
40%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2002 |
BRA
2 - 0
BEL
83%
11%
6%
|
93 | 99 | 6 | 0 |