Algeria vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 0
NIG
86%
10%
4%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 1
NGA
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 0
GUI
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 2
ALG
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
ALG
3 - 0
COD
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MLI
1 - 0
ZAM
57%
23%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MLI
2 - 0
SLE
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SLE
1 - 2
MLI
17%
25%
59%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 3
MLI
10%
20%
71%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MLI
4 - 0
CGO
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |