Algeria vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 2
GUI
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
RWA
0 - 1
ALG
23%
28%
49%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 3
ALG
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 0
BFA
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
MTN
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
MLI
2 - 2
BEN
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MLI
1 - 1
RWA
76%
17%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RWA
1 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MLI
3 - 1
GHA
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MLI
1 - 4
NGA
24%
26%
51%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |