Algeria vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
LBR
0 - 0
ALG
21%
28%
51%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
ALG
3 - 2
SEN
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 0
UAE
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 0
GAM
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 0
ALG
36%
29%
35%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MLI
2 - 1
CHA
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CGO
1 - 0
MLI
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
GAB
1 - 0
MLI
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
MLI
3 - 0
SDN
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
SDN
3 - 2
MLI
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |