Algeria vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
ALG
6 - 0
NIG
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
NIG
0 - 1
ALG
21%
29%
51%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
ALG
4 - 3
BFA
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
ALG
4 - 3
GAB
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2003 |
ALG
1 - 0
QAT
51%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
MLI
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
MLI
2 - 0
GNB
78%
16%
7%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GNB
1 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SYC
0 - 2
MLI
9%
17%
74%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
MLI
0 - 0
ZIM
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |