Algeria vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1984 |
KSA
4 - 2
ALG
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1984 |
ALG
1 - 1
ROU
34%
30%
36%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1983 |
ALG
1 - 2
SUI
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1983 |
BGR
3 - 2
ALG
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
TUN
0 - 1
ALG
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
MWI
0 - 1
ZAM
39%
24%
38%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1983 |
UGA
1 - 0
MWI
56%
21%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
KEN
2 - 0
MWI
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1983 |
MWI
2 - 1
SOM
65%
19%
17%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
ZIM
1 - 0
MWI
63%
19%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |