Algeria vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 0
TOG
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
ALG
2 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 2
ALG
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 2
TUN
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
2 - 2
ZIM
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
LBY
5 - 1
SYC
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
LBY
80%
14%
5%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
LBY
0 - 0
TOG
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 1
LBY
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
LBY
0 - 1
TUN
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |