Algeria vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 0
ALG
66%
22%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 1
COD
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
ALG
3 - 2
MLI
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
GAM
2 - 1
ALG
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 0
ALG
90%
8%
2%
|
76 | 99 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
LBR
1 - 1
GAM
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
RWA
4 - 0
LBR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
LBR
0 - 0
EQG
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
LBR
1 - 2
CMR
5%
17%
78%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CMR
3 - 1
LBR
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |