Algeria vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
SYC
0 - 2
ALG
11%
21%
69%
|
79 | 41 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
ETH
3 - 3
ALG
16%
24%
60%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ALG
7 - 1
ETH
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
ALG
7 - 0
TAN
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TAN
2 - 2
ALG
16%
25%
59%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
2 - 3
ZAM
15%
23%
62%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 1
LSO
71%
20%
9%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
MWI
0 - 1
LSO
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
LSO
66%
21%
12%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
3 - 0
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |