Algeria vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
UGA
1 - 2
ALG
14%
23%
63%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 2
GUI
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ALG
3 - 3
RSA
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ALG
3 - 2
BOL
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MTN
1 - 0
ALG
12%
20%
68%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
EQG
1 - 0
MWI
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
TUN
1 - 0
EQG
69%
20%
12%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CPV
1 - 0
EQG
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
KHM
0 - 2
EQG
9%
17%
74%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
EQG
0 - 1
GUI
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |