CAF Qualifying 1ra Ronda Final
Global 6-2
Algeria vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
MLI
2 - 1
ALG
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ALG
4 - 0
RWA
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ALG
3 - 0
NIG
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 2
ALG
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 0
TUN
33%
28%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
TAN
2 - 1
GAM
37%
27%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 1
MAR
20%
28%
51%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 2
ALG
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
BFA
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NAM
1 - 0
GAM
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |