Algeria vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
ALG
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
ALG
1 - 2
ZIM
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2004 |
ALG
2 - 1
EGY
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CMR
1 - 1
ALG
69%
20%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 2
MLI
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
AND
0 - 0
CHN
11%
19%
70%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
HKG
0 - 1
CHN
18%
25%
58%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 0
MMR
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 0
KWT
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 1
FIN
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |