Saudi Arabia vs Turkmenistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
LKA
0 - 1
KSA
2%
15%
83%
|
88 | 44 | 44 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
KSA
3 - 0
IDN
80%
15%
6%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2004 |
YEM
0 - 2
KSA
4%
17%
79%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 2
KSA
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
KWT
1 - 1
KSA
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2004 |
QAT
5 - 0
TKM
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ARM
1 - 0
TKM
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TKM
3 - 1
IDN
53%
21%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
YEM
1 - 2
TKM
21%
21%
58%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
TKM
2 - 0
LKA
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | +1 |