Saudi Arabia vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
69.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
KSA
2 - 0
KOR
8%
24%
68%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1981 |
KSA
2 - 1
JOR
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
KSA
1 - 2
TUN
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
SGP
1 - 1
KSA
33%
22%
45%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
IDN
0 - 2
KSA
42%
22%
36%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
POR
1 - 2
SWE
54%
26%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
GRC
2 - 1
SWE
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
SCO
2 - 0
SWE
59%
24%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
BGR
61%
24%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
FIN
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | +1 |