Saudi Arabia vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
EGY
2 - 1
KSA
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LBY
2 - 1
KSA
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
KSA
2 - 0
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
KSA
1 - 0
NAM
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
KSA
5 - 0
GHA
54%
26%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
NED
1 - 0
LUX
83%
13%
4%
|
33 | 97 | 64 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 2
ROU
11%
21%
68%
|
34 | 94 | 60 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
BLR
0 - 1
LUX
81%
14%
6%
|
32 | 79 | 47 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
BGR
3 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
33 | 89 | 56 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 3
SVN
13%
23%
64%
|
33 | 82 | 49 | 0 |