Saudi Arabia vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1990 |
KSA
4 - 0
BGD
82%
14%
5%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
KSA
0 - 0
KOR
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1988 |
KSA
1 - 0
IRN
44%
30%
27%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1988 |
KSA
1 - 0
CHN
46%
29%
25%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1988 |
KSA
1 - 1
BHR
68%
21%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
JPN
3 - 0
BGD
83%
13%
5%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1990 |
JPN
0 - 1
PRK
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1990 |
CHN
1 - 0
JPN
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1990 |
KOR
2 - 0
JPN
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1989 |
JPN
0 - 1
PRK
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |