Saudi Arabia vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
KSA
0 - 2
BRA
5%
15%
80%
|
77 | 97 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
KSA
2 - 2
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
KSA
2 - 1
EGY
29%
26%
46%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
URU
1 - 0
KSA
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
RUS
5 - 0
KSA
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
ARG
4 - 0
IRQ
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
KWT
2 - 2
IRQ
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
IRQ
0 - 0
PLE
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
IRQ
1 - 1
SYR
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
IRQ
2 - 3
QAT
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |