Saudi Arabia vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1996 |
KSA
6 - 0
THA
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
KSA
4 - 1
IDN
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1996 |
KSA
1 - 3
MLI
81%
14%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
KSA
3 - 1
SYR
83%
12%
6%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
KSA
1 - 0
BGR
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1996 |
IRN
1 - 2
IRQ
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
IDN
0 - 4
IRQ
13%
21%
66%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1995 |
MAS
1 - 2
IRQ
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
IRQ
3 - 1
THA
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
IND
1 - 1
IRQ
7%
18%
75%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |