Saudi Arabia vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
OMA
0 - 0
KSA
38%
28%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
HKG
0 - 5
KSA
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
KSA
3 - 0
HKG
77%
17%
6%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
KWT
1 - 0
KSA
47%
26%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2011 |
KSA
0 - 5
JPN
19%
23%
58%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
AUS
2 - 1
THA
65%
22%
14%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 2
AUS
34%
29%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
AUS
0 - 0
SRB
53%
26%
21%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
AUS
3 - 0
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
GER
1 - 2
AUS
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |