Saudi Arabia vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
KSA
1 - 1
URU
12%
21%
67%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
KSA
2 - 3
AUS
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
KSA
0 - 2
GEO
53%
26%
22%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
KSA
0 - 4
MDA
64%
23%
13%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
KSA
1 - 0
IDN
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
QAT
5 - 0
LBN
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
THA
2 - 5
LBN
70%
18%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
LBN
3 - 1
PAK
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
LBN
0 - 2
KWT
15%
22%
64%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
JOR
0 - 0
LBN
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |