Saudi Arabia vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2004 |
YEM
0 - 2
KSA
4%
17%
79%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 2
KSA
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
KWT
1 - 1
KSA
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
BHR
0 - 1
KSA
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2003 |
KSA
0 - 0
QAT
67%
21%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
JOR
2 - 1
IDN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
IDN
0 - 6
KSA
11%
19%
69%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
IDN
2 - 2
YEM
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2003 |
BTN
0 - 2
IDN
5%
13%
82%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
KSA
5 - 0
IDN
80%
13%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |