Germany vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1998 |
GER
2 - 0
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1998 |
GER
7 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 40 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1998 |
GER
3 - 1
COL
72%
18%
10%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1998 |
FIN
0 - 0
GER
15%
26%
59%
|
94 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
GER
1 - 0
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
YUG
1 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
SUI
1 - 1
YUG
21%
25%
54%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
JPN
0 - 1
YUG
20%
24%
56%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1998 |
YUG
3 - 0
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
YUG
3 - 1
KOR
70%
18%
12%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | +1 |