Germany vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
GER
2 - 2
HUN
62%
18%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
GER
3 - 1
SVK
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1939 |
GER
5 - 2
ITA
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1939 |
GER
4 - 4
MOR
71%
15%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
BGR
1 - 2
GER
38%
22%
41%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ROU
3 - 3
YUG
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1939 |
YUG
0 - 2
HUN
36%
20%
44%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1939 |
YUG
1 - 5
GER
39%
21%
40%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
YUG
1 - 2
ITA
38%
23%
40%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1939 |
YUG
2 - 1
ENG
29%
20%
51%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +1 |