Germany vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.94
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1956 |
SWE
2 - 2
GER
65%
17%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1956 |
NOR
1 - 3
GER
35%
22%
43%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1956 |
GER
1 - 3
ENG
54%
20%
26%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
ITA
2 - 1
GER
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1955 |
GER
2 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1956 |
DEN
2 - 5
SUN
83%
10%
7%
|
27 | 76 | 49 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1956 |
SUN
5 - 1
DEN
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 76 | 52 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
SUN
2 - 2
FRA
31%
20%
49%
|
24 | 78 | 54 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
HUN
1 - 1
SUN
94%
4%
2%
|
23 | 92 | 69 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1955 |
SUN
11 - 1
IND
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 64 | 44 | +3 |